Sunday, February 9, 2014


I havent been a big fan of the annual meeting. It is simply too big. This is partly my fault, because my interests are varied. I like to get around and see many different types of talks. You just never know when inspiration might strike or when you might learn a new technique, a new way of thinking about a problem by getting out of your comfort zone.

This time after realizing that almost every session I wanted to sit in on had competing sessions I was interested in, I folded. I became a speaker and networker rather than a viewer. Though I did my fair share of live tweeting when I was a viewer. So go ahead and check the tweets if you missed it.

Sunday, February 2, 2014

How soon is too soon?

One of the issues that has come up more and more recently is: "You cant forecast that 10 days out!"

So when can you forecast what, and when should you do it? After all, the atmosphere is not perfectly predictable, there is uncertainty in knowing the current state of the atmosphere and uncertainty contained within the equations and parameterizations that we use to approximate the behavior of the atmosphere.