Saturday, February 17, 2018

Modelology

My thing is modeling. How do you get forecasters to use more of the tools? And will these tools actually help them? Cause they have to learn the models to use them, and use them often to learn them. Then we get to figure out if any of that was worth it.

Wednesday, February 15, 2017

Friday, February 3, 2017

Reflection on 26 April 2016

Some reflections on "busted" forecasts and some quotes from the Bosart Symposium.

Monday, October 17, 2016

Sensitivity and the poor forecasts that follow


I want to ask a different question. Why are we having these struggles in forecasting? Why are these models so sensitive as to make poor forecasts?