Saturday, January 9, 2016

Value of certainty

So you like to look at 120h deterministic forecasts from your favorite model. GOOD FOR YOU!
My favorites dont go out that far. But when MPAS went out to Day 5 they were fun to look at it. Not just for the immediate future forecast but for the future of forecasting.


Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Work in progress

Who is responsible? {spoiler alert: We all are.}

Is that really THE question?

Sunday, June 7, 2015

HWT EFP 2015 & recent past

The 2015 HWT Experimental Forecast Program just ended. We didnt have much opportunity to wander the country like we did in the quiet year of 2014, but it looked amazingly like 2013. Here is a brief comparison:

Tuesday, February 24, 2015

Tornado Summit 2015

Today at the Tornado Summit I listened to a number of good talks. The Emergency Management community was well represented by the National Guard, the Healthcare industry, among many others.