tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.comments2023-06-02T10:45:52.831-05:00Dr JimmycAnonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14020616474668240945noreply@blogger.comBlogger32125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-43515782882544473782013-04-11T17:49:10.244-05:002013-04-11T17:49:10.244-05:00I appreciate your point and I should be more appre...I appreciate your point and I should be more appreciative of incremental science as being innovative. There is clearly a spectrum and thus categorization will fail. And your last sentence is obviously powerful. Science is all about the process of hypothesis testing to arrive at what constitutes a theory where we finally find some understanding as opposed to assumptions of causality. Thanks for sharing.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14020616474668240945noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-29035349018976180102013-04-11T08:18:23.590-05:002013-04-11T08:18:23.590-05:00An interesting perspective. From where I sit, inn...An interesting perspective. From where I sit, innovation emerges from being willing to change your views, even when strongly held, in the face of evidence. And that means you must be deeply involved in the process of using evidence to test our understanding. New ideas in my life often have come when using data to test ideas that "everyone knows are true" but actually have never been tested (or tested in some new way) before.Chuck Doswellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03099345055614900157noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-60944392354271560532012-10-03T00:06:38.503-05:002012-10-03T00:06:38.503-05:00You aren't making fun of them. You didn't ...You aren't making fun of them. You didn't participate in #rejectedTWCnamespmarshwxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00506937712266314088noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-51793901252454653132012-08-30T08:55:01.228-05:002012-08-30T08:55:01.228-05:00You tell me. Do I use Twitter correctly? I'd l...You tell me. Do I use Twitter correctly? I'd like to think so, but who knows. pmarshwxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00506937712266314088noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-65185046012239194892012-03-03T20:41:38.170-06:002012-03-03T20:41:38.170-06:00I think you accurately captured the controlled cha...I think you accurately captured the controlled chaos of an outbreak day shift. Well done!GregChttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02520358633586887782noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-66041370059993378712012-03-03T17:09:14.926-06:002012-03-03T17:09:14.926-06:00Nice write up Jimmy. Watching from afar Corey did...Nice write up Jimmy. Watching from afar Corey did a great job.<br /><br />JackJack Haleshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09129446987732112512noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-38765921983618188672012-01-31T11:49:43.907-06:002012-01-31T11:49:43.907-06:00Hi Jim,
is the data freely available?
Cheers
Ma...Hi Jim,<br /><br />is the data freely available?<br /><br />Cheers<br /><br />MartinMartinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07455204017582955345noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-29735966684243025852012-01-25T22:26:31.040-06:002012-01-25T22:26:31.040-06:00I agree. I was just attempting to, as crude as it ...I agree. I was just attempting to, as crude as it is, provide some evidence that the synoptic scale forcing was not strong. As far as convection initiation, again I agree. I am hoping we can get some additional variables out of the NSSL WRF, similar to what we had for HWT, so we can show the CI processes for these convection allowing models.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14020616474668240945noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-20561181601491013382012-01-25T01:14:55.217-06:002012-01-25T01:14:55.217-06:00"Forcing" is an often-misused term. You..."Forcing" is an often-misused term. You're describing the rhs of the QG omega equation (in various approximations) as "forcing" - which is more or less OK as far as it goes. But QG theory is a pretty simplistic approximation, even before making additional approximations. The QG "forcing" for ascent need not be the most significant. In fact, QG vertical motion is typically too weak to be responsible for initiating deep convection.Chuck Doswellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03099345055614900157noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-26614084315134085642011-10-18T11:33:11.570-05:002011-10-18T11:33:11.570-05:00That's true, although I think sometimes tellin...That's true, although I think sometimes telling about the journey and leaving the conclusions to the reader can be a good thing too!<br /><br />Just don't give up - it's all a process!Lynda Meyershttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14184072086095936772noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-70156465298014688552011-09-29T21:52:01.199-05:002011-09-29T21:52:01.199-05:00I heard something else yesterday that made me thin...I heard something else yesterday that made me think of my writing troubles: I have a tendency to tell the story of how I got where I am, rather than telling the story of what I found now that I am here.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14020616474668240945noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-67531500722346193702011-09-29T16:29:30.669-05:002011-09-29T16:29:30.669-05:00Well if it means anything this particular blog pos...Well if it means anything this particular blog post seemed fairly well put together, did not include a lot of unnecessary thoughts or sentences, and got your point across rather well... <br /><br />So perhaps it's when the scientific part of your brain is turned on you somehow snap into verbal diarrhea mode? I always go back a couple hours after I've written something and reread it - often out loud, and try to disconnect from my own knowledge of the piece to hear it as someone else would be hearing it - someone who has never heard this before. <br /><br />I end up cutting and slicing the crap out of it and rearranging sentences and parts of sentences so they actually make... well, sense :) <br /><br />Good luck!Lynda Meyershttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14184072086095936772noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-26109353292563945272011-09-25T10:56:29.532-05:002011-09-25T10:56:29.532-05:00So what can those around you do to help you "...So what can those around you do to help you "find your voice"?pmarshwxhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00506937712266314088noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-3281067376685314842011-08-13T09:10:58.285-05:002011-08-13T09:10:58.285-05:00You are indeed correct! I was writing fast and loo...You are indeed correct! I was writing fast and loose. A correction has been made to indicate my hope that this will be the start of the drought busting. Then again, we will probably go on rain hiatus for a while.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14020616474668240945noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-83541557040459604912011-08-13T08:35:06.853-05:002011-08-13T08:35:06.853-05:00Given the amount of rain here, it's an exagger...Given the amount of rain here, it's an exaggeration to say the drought is "busted"! It takes a lot more to remediate the rainfall deficits than what we've received.Chuck Doswellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03099345055614900157noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-12307619991492579482011-08-10T09:23:35.425-05:002011-08-10T09:23:35.425-05:00Indeed. The incentive is learning for the sake of...Indeed. The incentive is learning for the sake of learning. I very much dislike that people assume that incentives are the way to go, but I guess we should expect that from economists and politicians.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14020616474668240945noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-4536444036003124632011-08-10T01:47:30.945-05:002011-08-10T01:47:30.945-05:00If students aren't interesting in learning, th...If students aren't interesting in learning, then nothing really works for them. Too many students see learning as a passive experience, where the instructor has all the responsibility. If students refuse to accept the "ownership" of their own education and assume the primary responsibility for their educational outcome, you're wasting your time trying to offer them "incentives to learn"!Chuck Doswellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03099345055614900157noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-71218406405122735442011-03-12T00:02:29.212-06:002011-03-12T00:02:29.212-06:00I agree. The challenges we face can only be solved...I agree. The challenges we face can only be solved when the whole system is working in unison. And it all starts at home by making education a priority. It is also necessary to teach our children that life is all about learning, and that the number 1 incentive in education is learning. It is not educating yourself so you can have a job; rather the more learning you are able to do the more prepared and better skilled you will be at finding a career.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14020616474668240945noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-4845525441763525512011-03-11T13:08:39.059-06:002011-03-11T13:08:39.059-06:00Two words: Parental involvement(or lack thereof).
...Two words: Parental involvement(or lack thereof).<br /><br />Ok, that was more than two words. That is the biggest issue I hear from the perspective of K-12 teachers. They can't teach the kids who don't want to and/or aren't prepared to learn. You can throw as many or as few resources at the problem as you want, but if the home environment is not one that values education, good luck reaching that kid.Jameshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09907453765672332840noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-44987562584376494492011-02-06T04:01:23.888-06:002011-02-06T04:01:23.888-06:00My assessments have been made public since March, ...My assessments have been made public since March, 2008. Google dan Pangburn global warming.<br /><br />The planet energy balance calculation using the sunspot time-integral as a proxy for added energy was an eye-opener for me. It is easy to do from data available on line. Many have mistakenly ruled out solar influence because the variation in TSI is so small. <br /><br />Since the correlation with the total equation has held for 114 years and counting, it should hold for at least a couple more decades.Dan Pangburnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06415209665316338083noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-81909872173713572302011-02-04T18:16:46.015-06:002011-02-04T18:16:46.015-06:00Clearly we disagree. Let me know when you publish ...Clearly we disagree. Let me know when you publish your work. <br /><br />For reference the radiative forcing for solar variations (1.3 W/m2) and GHG forcing (1.6 W/m2) are similar.<br /><br />Correlation does not imply causation. That is why the scientific community is modeling it. We are trying to uncover the physical processes that lead to these changes.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14020616474668240945noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-86550453445680332692011-02-04T08:53:33.908-06:002011-02-04T08:53:33.908-06:00From 2001 through Dec, 2010 the atmospheric CO2 in...From 2001 through Dec, 2010 the atmospheric CO2 increased by 21.8% of the total increase from 1800 to 2001 while the average global temperature has not increased significantly and the average of the five reporting agencies has been declining rapidly since the peak of the last El Nino in March 2010. The 21.8% CO2 increase is the significant measurement, not the comparatively brief time period.<br /><br />THE FACTORS THAT RESULTED IN THE 20th CENTURY GLOBAL TEMPERATURE RUN-UP HAVE BEEN DISCOVERED. <br /><br />The contribution of added atmospheric carbon dioxide is between small and insignificant. The time-integral of sunspot numbers (which correlates with the average altitude and thus average temperature of clouds) and effective sea surface temperature are the main contributors.<br /><br />A simple equation, with inputs of accepted measurements from government agencies, calculates the average global temperatures since 1895 with 88% accuracy (87.6% if CO2 is assumed to have no influence). See the equation, links to the source data, an eye-opening graph of the results and how they are derived in the pdfs at http://climaterealists.com/index.php?tid=145&linkbox=true (see especially the pdfs made public on 4/10/10 and 6/27/10).<br /><br />The future average global temperature trend that this equation calculates is down.Dan Pangburnhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06415209665316338083noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-9181583454652636832011-01-14T07:31:38.126-06:002011-01-14T07:31:38.126-06:00Seems to me that a lot of things are getting turne...Seems to me that a lot of things are getting turned upside down in the world today. More and more rules, regulations and government run programs and funding as opposed to free markets and the ability to create and research and theorize.<br /><br />Kids need to be given the basics, yes, but they also need to learn to think for themselves and science is a great way to spark that desire for more - that quest for discovery of the "not yet known"... <br /><br />I'm with you. :)Lynda Meyershttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14184072086095936772noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-90716534256782443262010-11-29T19:23:40.030-06:002010-11-29T19:23:40.030-06:00Well said. Parental enabling is widespread, and ev...Well said. Parental enabling is widespread, and even worse the many ways in which the customer demands enabling and gets it, because there is a market for it. This reveals a serious flaw in our selfish society ... selfish for too long and all kinds of things get integrated in our big web of issues.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14020616474668240945noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2914146388301492708.post-35071540365079806752010-11-28T09:04:10.160-06:002010-11-28T09:04:10.160-06:00I certainly find it puzzling to discover cheating....I certainly find it puzzling to discover cheating. The obvious loser is the student, not the university. I believe that parents also have to share some of the responsibility for this, because they think more about their embarrassment if their kids do poorly at school than they do about the kids. Parents need to <i>reinforce</i> the message from teachers about the meaning and importance of an education, not sue the school when their children don't get A's!<br /><br />The fact that some slimy weasel will nearly always arise to fill this perceived need isn't surprising - the customer drives the market.Chuck Doswellhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03099345055614900157noreply@blogger.com