Oct 13 Verification

Here is the promised update to my experimental graphics, though reports are still trickling in as surveys are completed. When I ran my code last Tuesday not all of these reports were accounted for. Remember that I have a modeling slant to present. Below are two versions of verification (all reports including damage, and one where we stick to reports that meet formal severe criteria).

October 13th Severe Event

As of 915pm, storm reports pretty much show a hole in the MDT issued at 06Z which was focused on wind and sig wind. A comparison of the categorical outlook and the SSEO forecast I generate using UH tracks, showed a few interesting things: